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You are required to research the foreign currencies and select two foreign currencies to invest in for the account of one of your clients who has given you $20,000. Use $20,000 of your client's...

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You are required to research the foreign currencies and select two foreign currencies to invest in for the account of one of your clients who has given you $20,000. Use $20,000 of your client's account in the two foreign currencies which you have selected to invest in based on a margin of 2% which gives you a high leverage (50 to 1), meaning you can invest up to $1,000,000 or 50 times of your client's balance either in currency spot market or currency futures. To keep things simple, use the currency spot market and you are recommended to choose two hard currencies such as the Euro, British Pound, Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar, or Swiss Franc. The following are some more requirements for your research: 1. You may take a long or short position in each foreign currency or long position in one or short position on the other. 2. Justify your investment decisions based on a trend (uptrend or downtrend) analysis. 3. Justify your investment positions based on the relative inflation rate between two nations. For example, if the inflation rate is higher in the United States relative to the Euro Zone, all else equal, the Dollar would depreciate against the Euro. 4. Justify your investment positions based on the expected relative inflation rate between two nations. For example, if the inflation rate is expected to be higher in the United States relative to the Britain, all else equal, the Dollar would depreciate against the British Pound. 5. Justify your investment position based on the relative interest rate between two nations. For instance, if the Australian banks pay higher interest rate than the U.S. banks, investors or speculators would move their funds, all else equal or all other variables stay the same, to Australia to take advantage of the higher interest rate. 6. Similarly, you may justify your investment decisions based on expected interest rate between the two nations. For example, when investors expect higher interest rate in Canada, they would invest in Canadian denominated assets that, in turn, would cause the Canadian Dollar to appreciate, all other variables held fixed. 7. You may justify your investment decisions based on some other macroeconomic or fundamental analysis such as the unemployment rate, Gross Domestic Products, Trade Balance, and Capital Flows that you have learned from the textbook or some other outside materials. 8. Select the two currencies in your portfolio which have negative correlations or a weak correlation for the reduction of risk and risk management purpose. 9. Calculate your return for each investment and overall return XXXXXXXXXXPrepare your findings in an 8-page research report paper based on the APA format. Notes to Shareef: I have already chosen the two foreign currencies relative to the U.S currency, they are: the Chinese Yuan and the Canadian dollar.
Answered Same Day Dec 26, 2021

Solution

Robert answered on Dec 26 2021
114 Votes
International cu
encies are also one of the several alternatives of investment to park the money.
It provides a good investment opportunity for both short and long term. Cu
encies are treated as
like any commodity where we can sell or buy its specified numbers on a fixed rate to other
parties. Foreign exchange market is the place where we can transact in cu
encies. Here, the
investment of $20,000 has to be made in two foreign cu
encies. Since the exposure is 50 times,
we can invest up to $1,000,000. The selection of cu
encies for investment is crucial part where
in-depth research and analysis is necessary for safe and gainful investment.
Two cu
encies – Chinese Yuan and Canadian Dollar are selected for investment. Let’s see how
much these two cu
encies are feasible.
Graph 1 and 2 shows the movement of Chinese Yuan and Canadian dollar against US dollar over
past one year.
Graph 1: Chinese Yuan per US Dollar
Graph 2: Canadian dollar per US Dollar
Both the graph shows that Chinese Yuan and Canadian dollar have weakened against US dollar
in past one year. Chinese Yuan dropped by 7.5% while the Canadian dollar has weakened by
6.30%.
Graph 3 and 4 show the Inflation rate in China and Canada over past five years.
The China’s inflation rate has been below the US’s inflation rate however in 2016, it has risen
and so we observed the depreciation of Chinese Yuan in last year. But the trend shows the
Inflation in China will keep below the US inflation rate in next year and consequently the
Chinese Yuan will appreciate. Similarly, the Canada’s inflation rate has mix of sentiment against
US inflation rate. From year 2012 to 2014, Canada’s inflation rate has kept below the US
Graph 3: Inflation rate: China Vs US
Graph 4: Inflation rate: Canada Vs US
inflation rate but after mid 2015, it has risen above the US inflation rate including whole 2016
and therefore we see the fall in Canada dollar. The same trend is likely to prevail in future and
hence, the...
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