Solution
David answered on
Dec 27 2021
Executive Summary
Ramsay Healthcare Ltd is one of the prestigious healthcare systems based in Australia. Cu
ently
it has 220 hospitals across Australia, France, United Kingdom, Indonesia and Malaysia. The
annual reports of company during past five years show the consistence performance and strongly
project to perform better in future. Cu
ent as well as fixed assets have been continuously
growing. The growth rate of total assets is 1.08% in 2016. In the same fashion, the cu
ent and
long term liabilities have been increasing from 2011 to 2016. The total liability to total assets is
71.9% while debt to equity is around 26% in 2016. Thus, low financial leverage provides a great
flexibility to raise the fund and it would protect against any risk of insolvency. The WACC of
company is 11.21% that is in line of the Industry’s average. The stock valuation under PE
approach shows the stock is overvalued. Company’s performance is ahead of Industry and its
‘growth rate of revenue and net income, both surpass the Industry’s average. Analyst’s
prediction is quite favorable and company’s’ recent expansion and merger plan further stimulate
the growth. From investors’ point of view, company seems promising in fetching good returns
over long term investment.
Analysis and Interpretation
The short-term debts used by the company are interest bearing loan and other bo
owings. While
the long term debts used by the company are Non-convertible debenture and Lease obligations.
The value of short term debt is 86 AUD million while the value of long term debt is 3,327 AUD
million. The company’s debt structure is consistent with the industry.
Industry influences the debt structure of the company in which it operates. If industry is highly
levered, the company’s long term debt would be high while if the industry has potential of
growth and expansion; the companies operating under it would raise its short term debt to
finance short requirements and would keep align itself with the industry’s growth. Short term
debt also helps to garner the opportunity of capturing the large market segment and Industry’s
growth potential.
Company’s cost of debt and Equity
The cost of debt and equity of Ramsay healthcare are 2.98% and 13.35% respectively.
Evaluation of company’s revenue, earnings, EPS, dividends and growth expectations
At the end of 2016, the revenue is reported at 8,686 AUD million. Revenue has continuously
een rising over past five years. In year 2015, it is 7,357 AUD million while in 2014 and 2013, it
is 4,915 AUD million and 4,137 AUD million respectively.
Earnings are 450 AUD million in 2016. In past, earnings are 386 AUD million, 304 AUD
million and 266 AUD million in 2015, 2014 and 2013 respectively. Thus, earnings are also rising
with increase in revenue.
EPS stands at 2.16 in 2016. Previously it is at 1.84, 1.43 and 1.24 in 2015, 2014 and 2013
espectively. Thus, it EPS is fine tuned with earnings.
In 2016, Ramsay pays the dividend of 119 cents per share. In preceding years, it is 101 cents, 85
cents and 70 cents in 2015, 2014 and 2013. Thus, we observe a continuous rising in dividends
over past five years.
In nutshell, we can say that company has significantly improved its earnings potential over past
five years and the momentum is promised to maintain at the same pace of growth in coming
future.
Valuation of company’s stock using comparables approach (ie. P/E) and constant dividend
growth rate model.
Under the PE approach, the market price of equity comes to 58 AUD while under Constant
dividend growth model; the market price of equity comes to 27.88 AUD.
The P/E approach of equity valuation seems more reasonable as the calculated price is more
close to actual market price.
However, there are several methods to calculate the share price of any company and all the
methods have their own limitations. Overweighing of one method over other is not justifiable.
Dividend growth model is assumed to be more reliable one as it discounts the all future cash
flow (in the form of dividend) to calculate the intrinsic share price. Therefore, for more accurate
esult we need the estimated cash flow in the form of dividends and expected stock price at the
certain period. However, it is difficult to estimate but we can find them by incorporating certain
assumptions.
Average cost of Capital (WACC)
The WACC of any company shows its overall cost of capital that a company is presently bearing
through the composition of debt, equity and other sources of capital for running of the business.
To calculate the WACC, the cost of individual capital is weighted by its proportion according to
its market value and then sums it.
To find the WACC of Apple, two major capital’s component are needed - equity and debt.
The WACC is found by using the formula -
WACC = (E/E+D) rE + D/(E+D) rD (1-TC)
Where, E = Market value of equity
D = Market value of debt
rE = Cost of equity and
rD = Cost of debt
TC = Tax rate
Now, the market value of equity and debt can be found from the latest balance sheet of the
company while the cost of equity and debt would be calculated through certain calculations.
The WACC comes to 11.21%
Important of tax rate in calculation of WACC
Tax rate has a major implication in the calculation of WACC. WACC is...