1. Instructor's Notes # 2
2. Healey 10 th edition Chapter 15 start reading from page 412. Healey 11 th edition Chapter 15 start reading from page 431.
A. Using SPSS p XXXXXXXXXXth edition); XXXXXXXXXXth edition)
Follow the directions in the book but skip the co
elations table and its interpretation.
In step 3, use the following variables: Dependent Variable: Traffic Fatalities 2009 per 100 million miles driven
Independent variables: People per square mile 2010, and Pct XXXXXXXXXX
Provide full regression analysis. The SPSS output for the regression analysis is provided below. Reproduce these four tables using SPSS and paste them in your homework document.
You can use the analysis the book provides for your help. However, for the full regression analysis you should do the following:
· Estimate (multiple) regression equation
· Interpret the intercept.
· Identify and explain which independent variables appear to have a significant effect on the dependent variable.
· For significant independent variables interpret the regression coefficients b (slopes).
· Interpret the beta weights: which variables appear to be the most important predictors of the dependent variable?
· R Square (what percentage of the variation in the dependent variable could you explain? What percentage did you fail to explain?)
· Is your model overall significant?
For interpretation example, use handout Multiple Regression Interpretation and Heating Cost Example available in Module 2 folder.
Descriptive Statistics
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
Traffic Fatalities 2009 per 100 million miles driven
1.2220
.33460
50
Pct XXXXXXXXXX
13.2920
1.66401
50
People per square mile 2010
XXXXXXXXXX
XXXXXXXXXX
50
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. E
or of the Estimate
1
.531a
.282
.252
.28948
a. Predictors: (Constant), People per square mile 2010, Pct XXXXXXXXXX
ANOVAa
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
1.547
2
.774
9.233
.000
Residual
3.938
47
.084
Total
5.486
49
a. Dependent Variable: Traffic Fatalities 2009 per 100 million miles driven
b. Predictors: (Constant), People per square mile 2010, Pct XXXXXXXXXX
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients
t
Sig.
B
Std. E
o
Beta
1
(Constant)
.688
.334
2.059
.045
Pct XXXXXXXXXX
.050
.025
.248
1.977
.054
People per square mile 2010
-.001
.000
-.514
-4.097
.000
a. Dependent Variable: Traffic Fatalities 2009 per 100 million miles driven
Part B. For this week’s assignment we will use Texas Education data from 1,044 public school districts in Texas. This data set is especially useful for illustrating how regression analyses in the field of education policy analysis are performed using statistical software packages. For example, teacher turnover has become a serious management challenge for public school administrators and government officials. The turnover of qualified teachers negatively affects the quality of education and increases operation costs. The EDUCATION dataset contains variables related to student performance, district finances, and teacher and staff characteristics. The dataset is saved as the SPSS data file. Two of the homework problems require that you access this dataset and perform regression analysis. Each problem describes the variables that should be used in the analysis but does not provide a detailed description of each variable. Brief descriptions of each variable can be found in the dataset by going to the “View” menu in SPSS and selecting “Variables.” The variable descriptions are provided in the code book posted in the Data file also.
For example, use handout Multiple Regression Interpretation and Heating Cost example provided in Module 2 folder.
Refer to the EDUCATION data set available in the Data folder. Copy the data set to your computer first and then open it. The Code book for the data is also available in the Data folder.
Exercise 1.
Use the following set of independent variables – SALTEACH, REVPUB, CLASS, and PECD – to explain teacher turnover rates (TETURN).
Do the full regression analysis. This means that you must:
· Estimate (multiple) regression equation
· Interpret the intercept.
· Which independent variables appear to have a significant effect on the dependent variable? Why?
· For significant independent variables interpret the regression coefficients b (slopes).
· Interpret the beta weights: which variables appear to be the most important predictors of the teacher turnover rates?
· R Square (what percentage of the variation in the dependent variable could you explain? What percentage did you fail to explain?)
· Is your model overall significant?
Exercise 2.
Use the following set of independent variables – PAFR, PHISP, CLASS, and TETURN – to explain overall student pass rates (PASSALL).
Do the full regression analysis. This means that you must:
· Estimate regression equation
· Interpret the intercept
· Determine which independent variables appear to have a significant effect on the dependent variable? Why?
· Interpret the regression coefficients b (slopes) only for significant independent variables.
· Interpret the beta weights: which variables appear to be the most important predictors of the dependent variable in your model?
· R Square (what percentage of the variation in the dependent variable could you explain? What percentage did you fail to explain?)
· Is your model overall significant?
· Based on your interpretation of R square for the model, does it seem that relevant explanatory variables might be missing from the model? Explain.
· Add ATTEND to the existing set of the independent variables and generate a second regression.
· Interpret the slopes, intercept, and R2 for the model.
· Has the addition of a new independent variable improved the explanatory power of the model? Explain.
Part C: Article review: Moynihan, Donald P. and Noel Landuyt (2009). “How do Public Organizations Learn? Bridging Structural and Cultural Divides.” Public Administration Review. 69(6): XXXXXXXXXX.
Submit the answers to the questions on the Moynihan and Landuyt article. Please read the article at least twice before answering the questions.
Answer the following questions:
1. What is the research question?
2. What sample is used?
3. What is the number of respondents used in this analysis?
4. What quantitative method was used to answer the research question?
5. What are independent and dependent variables?
6. How are these variables measured?
7. Specify the regression equation using the results from Table 1 (with all theoretical and control variables).
8. Give your interpretation of the regression coefficients of the five theoretical variables (effects).
9. Explain why we can use the regression coefficients to interpret the relative strength of these effects (no need for the Betas)?
10. Give your interpretation of the regression coefficients of all control variables.
11. What are the practical implications of the research results?
12. What are the advantages and the disadvantages of using qualitative versus quantitative research methods for studying organizational learning?