Great Deal! Get Instant $10 FREE in Account on First Order + 10% Cashback on Every Order Order Now

BUS700 Learning Activity XXXXXXXXXX1 BUS700 ECONOMICS T319, DUE: 11:59 P.M. FRIDAY WEEK 10 Learning Activity Towards Preparation of Assignment This activity will help you complete your assignment. KOI...

1 answer below »
BUS700 Learning Activity XXXXXXXXXX1 BUS700 ECONOMICS T319, DUE: 11:59 P.M. FRIDAY WEEK 10 Learning Activity Towards Preparation of Assignment This activity will help you complete your assignment. KOI Economics and Statistics department uses EXCEL often to undertake data analysis, as such, this activity introduces you to two useful functions of EXCEL: regression analysis and graphs. Part I introduces how to use Excel for regression analysis; Part II is about how to use Excel for graphs, and Part III contains recommended Youtube videos about using Excel for regression analysis and interpretation of results. PLEASE NOTE THAT THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS ACTIVITY IS A GUIDE FOR YOU TO COMPLETE THE ASSIGNMENT. IT SHOULD BE USED AS A GUIDE TO THOSE WHO ARE UNFAMILIAR WITH REGRESSION ANALYSIS AND GRAPHS. Part I: Regression Analysis The first thing to do is to collect data on some variables and, then, specify a regression model. The table below (2.3. Example 1) shows the values of the factors that influence the average demand for energy bars: average income per person, tariff on energy bars imported, number of stores selling energy bars. The dependent variable (Y) is demand for energy; and the independent/explanatory variables (X) are income (X1); Tariff rate (X2); and number of stores (X3). 1.2 Multiple Regression Model Y = α + β1X1 +β2X2 +β3X3 + β4X4 + ϵt XXXXXXXXXX1) Demand = ( β1*Income)+ ( β2*Tariff)+ ( β3*No of Stores) + ϵt The slope/coefficient/parameter (β1, β2 etc.) should be interpreted as the impact (effect) of the explanatory variables (variable 1, variable 2 etc.) on the dependent variable. 1.3 Multiple Log-Linear Regression Model LnY = α + β1lnX1 +β2lnX2 +β3lnX3 + β4lnX4 + ϵt XXXXXXXXXX2) ln (Demand) = β1* ln (Income) + β2*ln (Tariff) + β3* ln (No of Stores) + ϵt The slope/coefficient/parameter (β1, β2 etc.) should be interpreted as the percentage of the dependent variable in response to percentage change in of the explanatory variable (variable 1, variable 2 etc.) or the elasticity of the dependent variable with respect to the explanatory variable. NOTE: WE CANNOT TAKE LN OF NEGATIVE NUMBERS. * ONLY REGRESSION RESULTS, Tables and graphs are to be inserted in the body or essay. Place raw data in the appendix. BUS700 Learning Activity XXXXXXXXXX2 Part II: Regression Process - Excel 2.1: Installing/Activating Data Analysis tool in Excel 1. Open Excel, then 2. Go to File, then click on 3. Options. In left-hand side of Options dialog Box, 4. Add-ins, then on the bottom of right-hand side, Excel Add-ins appears in front of Manage 5. Click on Go, then in Add-ins dialog box, select 6. Analysis ToolPak, the click on 7. Ok, to return to Excel Worksheet. 8. On the Menu Bar, Click on Data, then see 9. Data Analysis appear or the Right-hand corner BUS700 Learning Activity XXXXXXXXXX3 2.2: Running Regression 1. Open data file in Excel 2. On Menu bar, Click Data, to reveal Data Analysis on right-hand corner 3. Click on Data Analysis, then 4. Select Regression, then Ok 5. Regression dialog box appears (see screen shot below) 6. Input (Y) range: select data range for dependent variable, including label 7. Input (X) Range: select data range for independent variables, including labels 8. Tick Label 9. Under Output Options, Click 10. Output range, to place regression output in current worksheet or select New Worksheet 11. Click Ok, and regression output will appear as per your choice in (10) BUS700 Learning Activity XXXXXXXXXX4 2. 3: Example 1 A regression analysis of the raw data comparing the effect the Average Annual Income, Import Tariff and Number or Stores produces the following results. Summary Output Regression Statistics Multiple R XXXXXXXXXX R Square XXXXXXXXXX Adjusted R Square XXXXXXXXXX Standard Error XXXXXXXXXX Observations 21 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX95E-09 Residual XXXXXXXXXX13888 Total XXXXXXXXXX Annual average dem and of energy bars per person A verage incom e per person T arif rate on im ports of energy bars N um ber of stores w here energy bars are of ered 106 15, XXXXXXXXXX 90 15, XXXXXXXXXX 93 16, XXXXXXXXXX 92 16, XXXXXXXXXX 91 17, XXXXXXXXXX 110 18, XXXXXXXXXX 109 19, XXXXXXXXXX 122 19, XXXXXXXXXX 82 19, XXXXXXXXXX 84 20, XXXXXXXXXX 102 20, XXXXXXXXXX 92 21, XXXXXXXXXX 115 22, XXXXXXXXXX 112 22, XXXXXXXXXX 109 22, XXXXXXXXXX 148 23, XXXXXXXXXX 143 23, XXXXXXXXXX 139 24, XXXXXXXXXX 158 24, XXXXXXXXXX 142 25, XXXXXXXXXX 158 25, XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX BUS700 Learning Activity XXXXXXXXXX5 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX Average Income XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX Tariff Rate XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX71E XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX - XXXXXXXXXX No of Stores XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX 2.3.1 Presenting the results in the body of report/essay: The whole summary output is not required in the report. Insert only the part needed for your analysis, for example, table of coefficients, standard error, t- statistics, and P-value. Coefficients Standard Error XXXXXXXXXXt Stat XXXXXXXXXXP-value Intercept XXXXXXXXXX XXXXXXXXXX Average Income XXXXXXXXXX* XXXXXXXXXX.016316 Tariff Rate XXXXXXXXXX* XXXXXXXXXX71E-06 No of Stores XXXXXXXXXX* XXXXXXXXXX.046614 R2 = XXXXXXXXXX • Significant at the 5% level The regression output suggests that we can predict what the Demand would be, with 91% confidence (R square), equal to the following formula Demand = (− XXXXXXXXXX004838 x Income)+ (− XXXXXXXXXXx Tariff XXXXXXXXXXx No of Stores) The regression
Answered Same Day May 17, 2021

Solution

Suraj answered on May 19 2021
141 Votes
Regression Analysis
Data collection : -
First thing is to collect the data on real GDP so for this we have collected data from those sources which are mentioned in the assignment , so we pick the data from worldbank for the country Australia as described in the task . There are other sources of the data collection are available also . The collected data is described as follow :
     Yea
     GDP Growth of net exports
     Cost Rate
     Exchange Rate
    
    1989
1990
    1991
    1992
    1993
    1994
    1995
    1996
    1997
    1998
    1999
    2000
    2001
    2002
    2003
    2004
    2005
    2006
    2007
    2008
    2009
    2010
    2011
    2012
    2013
    2014
    2015
    2016
    2017
    
    299.268
    310.777
    325.310
    324.879
    311.544
    322.212
    367.216
    400.303
    434.568
    398.899
    388.608
    415.223
    378.376
    394.649
    466.488
    612.490
    693.408
    746.054
    853.100
    1053.996
    927.805
    1146.138
    1396.650
    1546.152
    1576.184
    1467.484
    1351.694
    1208.847
    1330.136
    
    1.0651
    1.0509
    1.0579
    1.0209
    0.9217
    0.8994
    0.9725
    0.9950
    1.0233
    0.8811
    0.8127
    0.8234
    0.7130
    0.6993
    0.7896
    0.9714
    1.0437
    1.0507
    1.1203
    1.3241
    1.0613
    1.3229
    1.4897
    1.5881
    1.4847
    1.3334
    1.2265
    1.0563
    1.0894
    
    0.7659
    0.7542
    0.7752
    0.7684
    0.7058
    0.7008
    0.728
    0.7793
    0.7865
    0.6634
    0.6293
    0.6055
    0.489
    0.5316
    0.5036
    0.7589
    0.7719
    0.7159
    0.807
    0.918
    0.6873
    0.9159
    1.0334
    1.0402
    1.0426
    0.9221
    0.7634
    0.9094
    0.8650

Now our first responsibility is to visualize the relation .the most appropriate method for this is the scatter plots .
For showing the relationship the way to draw the scatter plots of the variables of interest i.e taking dependent variable on the y – axis and the independent variable on the x – axis .
So the relevant graphs are shown as follow :
Scatter plot between the net export and the exchange rate :
Scatter plot between the net export and the cost rate :
Exchange rate For year 1989 – 2017
Cost Rate from 1989 – 2017
Description : - In the first scatter plot , plotted between the Net Export rate as a dependent variable and the exchange rate we see that there is some relationship between the two variables and it is a kind of negative relationship . In the second plot , between the Net Export rate as a dependent variable and the cost rate we see there is some relationship between the two variables and it is a kind of negative relationship. So it means with the increase of one variable the second variable is decresases . we can measure the relationship between any two variables mathematically by calculating the co
elation coefficient between them.
Statistics calculated from the given data as follow :
Co
elation coefficient between the export rate and cost rate = -0.22528
Co
elation coefficient between the export rate and exchange rate = -0.2482
Model building Linear Regression :
Introduction : - since the main application or use of Regression Analysis technique is to make predictions of interest . For this we have to calculate various coefficients like the intercept term and the slope .
A typical Regression model is look like as follow :
Y = a + b1X1 + b2X2 + _ _ _ _ _ + bnXn + e
Where e is a e
or term and we assume that it is normally distributes with mean 0 and variance .
and a is a intercept term and b1 , b2 , b3 , _ _ _ _ _ _ _ , bn are the slope terms in the model .
Main body : Now in our problem we have to build a model of the Net GDP of the Australia and the independent variables are the exchange rate and the cost rate of the GDP of the Australia form year 1990 – 2017 . for the analysis we are using the excel tool to make the relevant model .
The output of the model from excel is given as follow :
    SUMMARY OUTPUT
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Regression Statistics
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Multiple R
    0.824172
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    R Square
    0.67926
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Adjusted R Square
    0.654588
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Standard E
o
    264.7182
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Observations
    29
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    ANOVA
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Â 
    df
    SS
    MS
    F
    Significance F
    
    
    
    Regression
    2
    3858547
    1929274
    27.53128
    3.8E-07
    
    
    
    Residual
    26
    1821968
    70075.7
    
    
    
    
    
    Total
    28
    5680516
    Â 
    Â 
    Â 
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Â 
    Coefficients
    Standard E
o
    t Stat
    P-value
    Lower 95%
    Upper 95%
    Lower 95.0%
    Upper 95.0%
    Intercept
    -986.551
    269.7376
    -3.65745
    0.001135
    -1541
    -432.098
    -1541
    -432.098
    Cost...
SOLUTION.PDF

Answer To This Question Is Available To Download

Related Questions & Answers

More Questions »

Submit New Assignment

Copy and Paste Your Assignment Here