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Methods for Rational Decision Making Mathematical and Computational Modeling in Systems Engineering ENMA 656 – Coursework 5 Question 1: (1 point) Please, rewrite the following time series models using...

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Methods for Rational Decision Making
Mathematical and Computational Modeling in Systems Engineering
ENMA 656 – Coursework 5
Question 1: (1 point)
Please, rewrite the following time series models using the backshift B operator and the difference operator Δ in terms of the time series zt.
a)
)
c) where
d)
Question 2: (1 point)
Use the Google Trends (https:
trends.google.com) to search for a topic “Unemployment rate” and “Basketball”. Include the time series plot from 2004-present for both graphs separately. Please, describe the plots based on the characteristics discussed at the class. What do you think is the data stationary or non-stationary?
Question 3: (3 points)
Please, define and describe in your own words what is co
elation and autoco
elation. What are the ways to measure autoco
elation between time series values (Hint: graphical depiction and statistical analysis). Please,
ing some examples of co
elated data.
Create an ACF graph for some univariate time-series data you have found and describe what it means.
Answered Same Day Feb 24, 2021

Solution

Monica answered on Feb 28 2021
128 Votes
Mathematical and Computational Modeling in Systems Engineering
ENMA 656 – Coursework 5
Solution 1:
a)
)
= 1
= 1
c)
d)
Solution 2:
Description
The above plots clearly show that the mean, variance and covariance are not constant over time. The Stationary series is one in which the properties – mean, variance and covariance, do not vary with time. The above data is non - stationary series.
Solution 3:
Co
elation: The measure of dependence between two quantities/data points say (x, y) i.e. the relationship between two random...
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