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Arrivals of passengers at a taxi stand form a Poisson process L with rate ?; passengers come singly and they wait patiently for their turn until a taxi shows up. Taxis arrive empty to the same stand...

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Arrivals of passengers at a taxi stand form a Poisson process L with rate ?; passengers come singly and they wait patiently for their turn until a taxi shows up. Taxis arrive empty to the same stand according to Poisson process M with rate µ ; and each taxicab waits there until a ride shows up (if there were not only waiting passengers). Let
Xt = Lt - Mt , t>=0,
a) The process X = (X t) is a compound Poisson process that is, it has the form
Xt = YNt
where Y0 =0 and Yn = Z1 + Z2 +...+ Zn characterize the process N. Characterize the random variables Z1 , Z2 ,...; are they independent, what is their distribution? Is N independent of Y?
b) Compute (enough to write down an explicit expression) P {Xt = 3}, P {Xt = -2}, P {Xt = 0}, Interpret what these probabilities are.
c) Y = (Yn) n ? N is a Markov chain, what is its state space? Classify its states when ? > µ, and when
?
Continuation. In the preceding problem, we now modify the taxicab behavior, when a taxicab arrives to find 3 taxicabs there (and therefore no passengers) it leaves immediately. So, the number Xt has to be in the set D = {-3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, …}. Show that X still has the form
Xt = YNt
but the Markov chain Y has transition probabilities different from those in the preceding problem.
a) Compute the probabilities
Pij = P{Y n+1 =j/Yn = i} i,j ? D
b) Classify the states when ?
  1. Compute the limiting probabilities pj = limn-infinity P{Xn = j}.

d) What can you say about
limt-infinity Pi {Xt = j}.
Answered Same Day Dec 21, 2021

Solution

David answered on Dec 21 2021
125 Votes
SOLUTION:
a) Xt = Lt – Mt
Now need to show that we can write the process X= (Xt) as YNt where
Y0=0 and Yn= Z1+Z2+...+Zn where Zi ‘s are iid and Nt is a poisson
process.
Define Nt= Lt+Mt
Now we know that the sum of 2 independent Poisson processes with
parameters a and b is a Poisson process with parameter (a+b).
Since L and M are 2 independent Poisson process with parameters λ and
μ respectivelty, N=L+M is a Poisson process with parameter λ+μ.
Let an event occur if either a taxi a
ives or a passenger a
ives. Hence
the occu
ences of these events is the Poisson process N with
parameter λ+μ. And at any time t, Nt ~ Poi( (λ+μ)t). This is the
characterisation of N.
Now define Zi= 1 if a passenger a
ives during the ith event.
And Zi=-1 if a taxi a
ives during the ith event.
This is the characterisation of the Zi’s.
Then YNt= Z1+Z2+...+ZNt=Lt-Mt=Xt
Now Zi are clearly identical.
Since the two processes L and M are independent and the inter-a
ival
times are iid exponential, the Zi’s are also independent. This is because
of the memoryless property of the exponential distribution. Given a taxi
a
ives or a passenger a
ives the time taken for the next taxi or
passenger to a
ive is independant of the previous occu
ences . Hence
the Zi’s are independant.
Hence the Zi’s are iid and each Zi is independant of Nt, hence Xt , by
definition is a compound poisson process.
Now the distribution of Zi’s is as follows:
Zi= 1 with probability p
=-1 with probability 1-p
Where p= P( Zi=1) = P( a passenger a
ives | either a passenger a
ives
or a taxi a
ives)
= P( Lt-L(t-1)=1| Nt-N(t-1)=1)
=P(U=1|U+V=1) where U~ Poi(λ) as Lt is stationary and hence Lt-L(t-
1) is same in distribution as L1~ Poi(λ) ...
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