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About this Assignment The purpose of financial forecasts is to assess current and future fiscal conditions to inform policy and other important decisions. Financial forecasts are fiscal management...

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About this Assignment
The purpose of financial forecasts is to assess cu
ent and future fiscal conditions to inform policy and other important decisions. Financial forecasts are fiscal management tools that presents estimated information based on past, cu
ent, and projected financial conditions. This assignment will measure your understanding of the purpose for, and importance of financial forecasts and how they contribute to decision making. Before beginning the assignment, please read the ru
ics carefully to understand the expectations and how your work will be graded. Please write your answers succinctly and remain on topic, answering only to what is asked.
Problem Set
Stock Price Forecast
    
Problem # 1: Refer to the stock price forecast table provided and any other resource material you deem necessary to address the following:
· Summarize the forecast using 6-10
ief bullet points
· In XXXXXXXXXXwords explain how the forecasters might have utilized the historical data for the stock price to forecast future stock prices and the methodology for forecasting that the forecaster might have used.
· What assumptions did the forecaster use? What might be some of the rational for making the assumptions? How would different assumptions affect the forecast? XXXXXXXXXXwords)
· If you were advising investors regarding the organization's stocks, what would you tell them? Comment on when, and how much (if any) investment should be done, the return they can expect, time frames, and possible risks XXXXXXXXXXwords)
Problem # 2: For this question, please refer to the Dino's After School Trial Balance with ending totals for December 31, 2014 in the table below:
    Account
    Balance ($)
    Checking
    15,220
    Savings
    58,500
    Money Market
    41,650
    Pre-Paid Rent
    5,400
    Accounts Receivable
    81,000
    Accounts Receivable Allowances
    -6,500
    Machinery
    122,600
    Equipment
    80,300
    Automobiles
    67,500
    Accounts Payable
    60,000
    Loans Payable
    21,300
    Equity
    384,370
1. Using an Excel Spreadsheet, create the Balance Sheet for Dino's After School.
2. Using the information obtained from your Balance Sheet, calculate any one (1) liquidity and any one (1) leverage ratio.
3. Comment on the financial position of the organization, specific to the two ratios you calculated. What is the main reason that Dino's (and other organizations) need a Balance Sheet? XXXXXXXXXXwords)
Problem # 3: Please refer to the corporate tax rates table and the Gross Profit Chart below:
    Account
    Balance ($)
    0 to 50,000
    15%
    50,000 to 75,000
    $7, XXXXXXXXXX% of the amount over 50,000
    75,000 to 100,000
    $13, XXXXXXXXXX% of the amount over 75,000
    100,000 to 335,000
    $22, XXXXXXXXXX% of the amount over 100,000
    335,000 to 10,000,000
    $113, XXXXXXXXXX% of the amount over 335,000
    10,000,000 to 15,000,000
    $3,400, XXXXXXXXXX% of the amount over 10,000,000
    15,000,000 to 18,333,333
    $5,150, XXXXXXXXXX% of the amount over 15,000,000
    18,333,333 and up
    35%
    Fiscal Yea
    Gross Profit ($)
    June, XXXXXXXXXXMay, 2010
    261,100
    June, XXXXXXXXXXMay, 2012
    277,500
    June, XXXXXXXXXXMay, 2013
    292,000
    June, XXXXXXXXXXMay, 2014
    300,900
1. Given the information provided here perform your own calculations to show the amount of corporate tax paid for each of the four (4) fiscal years covered in the table above.
2. Is there a pattern? Explain the pattern and what it may suggest about the future performance of the organization. How can this conclusion advise investors and organizational decision makers?
3. If there was a 20% reduction in the Gross Profit for fiscal year 6/12 - 5/13, how might this have changed the gross profit expectations for the 6/13 - 5/14 fiscal year? Provide rationale.
4. Calculate the total expected taxes that would have been paid for these two fiscal years, with the 20% reduction in 6/12 - 5/13 and the resultant expected change in the 6/13 - 5/14 gross profit.
Problem # 4: Explain the concept of departmentalized accounting and the importance of collaboration between departments within an organization, to its success. You may use organizational examples XXXXXXXXXXwords)
Grading Ru
ic
This assignment will be graded based on the following ru
ics:
    Category
    Unacceptable
    Needs Improvement
    Good
    Excellent
    Total Possible Points
    Forecasting
    There is no summary, advice, or rationale or those given are unclear and illogical (0-2)
    Few parts of the summary, advice, and rationale are succinct and logical (3-6)
    Most of the summary, advice, and rationale are succinct and logical. (7-10)
    The summary, advice, and rationale are succinct and logical XXXXXXXXXX)
    12
    Balance Sheet
    The formatting, calculations, and comments/conclusions are inco
ect or non-existent (1-3)
    The formatting, calculations, and comments/conclusions are inco
ect or non-existent (1-3)
    Most/many formatting, calculations, and comments/conclusions are co
ect, fairly well formulated and articulated (8-12)
    All or most formatting, calculations, and comments/conclusions are co
ect well formulated and articulated (13-15)
    15
    Taxes
    The calculations and analyses are either non-existent or inco
ect. (0-3)
    Some of the calculations and analyses are co
ect and based on the information provided (4-7)
    The calculations and analyses are mostly co
ect and based on the information provided (8-12)
    The calculations and analyses are co
ect and based on the information provided (13-15)
    15
    Departmentalized Accounting
    Did not clearly articulate the necessity of departmentalized accounting nor the importance of co-ordination and collaboration. (0-1)
    Attempted to articulate the necessity of departmentalized accounting. (2)
    Satisfactorily articulates the necessity of departmentalized accounting and the importance of co-ordination and collaboration. (3)
    Clearly articulates the necessity of departmentalized accounting and the importance of co-ordination and collaboration (4-5)
    5
    Mechanics
    Inco
ect spelling, punctuation, capitalization, and use of standard English grammar hinders understanding (0)
    Several/Many instances of inco
ect spelling, punctuation, capitalization, and usage of standard English grammar (1)
    Few instances of inco
ect spelling, punctuation, capitalization, and usage of standard English grammar (2)
    No or very few instances of inco
ect spelling, punctuation, capitalization, and usage of standard English grammar (3)
    3
    
    
    
    
    
    50
Answered Same Day Apr 21, 2021

Solution

Shakeel answered on Apr 27 2021
161 Votes
Answer 1
· The stock price trend is in upward direction
· The actual growth rate is estimated to be 5% while the historical estimate is 3%
· The bust point is followed by Bu
le and thus, a upward resistance is observed.
· There would be moderate growth in stock’s price in due course of time
· AT the price of $125, another resistance might be observed.
· With actual growth rate, the stock price may touch to $150 level in next couple of years.
Historical data is generally used to know the trend of stock’s price and on the basis of that trend; the future’s stock price can be estimated. Several techniques are used for forecasting like Moving Average (MA) method, Exponential moving average method (EMA), Relative Index method etc. Apart from these, technical analysis is done and different stock price patterns are studied to forecast like Bottom and top, double bottom, Head and Shoulder, Saucer, Support and resistance etc. The regression model based on the historical price also provides a tool to estimate the stock price in controlled situation. Dow Theory and Industry Life Cycle are also some of the innovative tool of forecasting.
Assumptions used in forecasting are as follows:
· Stock price movement follows the trend in normal economical circumstances.
· No political or social factors are considered.
· Market is in semi-strong or strong form
· The cu
ent trend will continue in future.
· Expected macro economical changes are not taken into account
The rationale behind such assumption is the forecasted stock price trend is mainly based upon the historical prices where no such future events are taken into account. Therefore, the stock price movement is forecasted only on the basis of its past movements with mathematical calculations and methods.
If assumptions are taken differently, of course the stock price trend will change in future. The different assumption might be based upon the economical and political condition or company’s future prospects in respect of its earnings and growth. Thus, a more in-depth analysis would be required for forecasting. Fundamental analysis, common size analyses are some of the tools that can be used for forecasting purpose.
Since the stock price is in upward trend, one can invest for good return over long term. In short run, a large fluctuation in price can be observed and thus not suitable for investment but long term trend is positive and upward, one can invest for 8-10 years for good return. As far as risk and return over...
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